Wagering on ‘Sunday Night Football’: Reasons the over performs in San Francisco, CMC leads DFS selections

Dec 28, 2025, 10:55 AM ET

Sunday’s Week 17 slate wraps up with the Chicago Bears visiting the San Francisco 49ers on «Sunday Night Football.»

The Bears have won back-to-back games and clinched the NFC North by virtue of the Green Bay Packers’ loss on Saturday. The 49ers have won five straight and have also clinched a playoff spot.

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Both teams will be looking to improve their playoff positioning, with the Bears already guaranteed a home game.

The 49ers are 3.5-point favorites Sunday night.

Matt Bowen, Liz Loza and Pamela Maldonado offer their picks, prop bets, daily fantasy sports plays and analysis to help you bet the game.

Note: Odds by DraftKings and subject to change.

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Brock Purdy OVER 253.5 yards passing (-113)

Bowen: Purdy has thrown for 295 yards in back-to-back games, and Kyle Shanahan will have answers for the Bears’ zone coverages. Defined throws, plus catch-and-run concepts here.

Christian McCaffrey ($17,700). Let’s take the run game matchup versus the Chicago defense, plus the steady, dual-threat volume with McCaffrey in Shanahan’s offense. McCaffrey has seen at least 23 touches in four straight games, with four or more receptions in three.

Also in my lineup: Colston Loveland ($4,800). Loveland is a lower-tier flex in the lineup who could provide really good value. Loveland has seen at least five targets in five straight games, with a touchdown grab in two. And coach Ben Johnson can set up Loveland as a boundary receiver to create matchups versus the 49ers’ secondary.

Loza’s recommendations

Captain (scores 1.5x fantasy points): Caleb Williams ($15,000) has gone over 200 passing yards in his past two games and has thrown six TDs over his past three. He’s also the QB8 in total rushing yards (averaging over 24 per game). In what’s projected to be a close and high-scoring contest, Williams should post top-10 positional fantasy numbers in prime time.

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Also in my lineup: Jauan Jennings ($12,900) has been money in the red area of the field, drawing nine red zone targets (T-WR7) and registering five scores (T-WR1) since Purdy returned from injury in Week 11. With Ricky Pearsall still nicked up and George Kittle dealing with an ankle issue, Jennings figures to have a big night against the Bears’ secondary.

Maldonado’s recommendations

Captain (scores 1.5x fantasy points): Christian McCaffrey ($17,700) has the highest raw ceiling here. The Bears allow 4.8 yards per carry to RBs (28th). With Kittle’s status uncertain, McCaffrey’s role expands either way: more rushing efficiency if Kittle plays, or increased target share if he doesn’t.

Also in my lineup: Caleb Williams ($10,000) benefits from the cleanest pocket matchup he has seen. San Francisco is 30th in pressure rate and last in sack rate. Williams’ efficiency spikes dramatically when kept clean, giving him passing and rushing equity in a potential back-and-forth script.