The New York Mets concluded a three-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies with a 6-0 victory on Wednesday, reducing the Phillies’ lead in the NL East to four games. New York leads the majors with 111 runs since August 10, and standout player Juan Soto has hit seven home runs since the start of the month. Soto hit a home run versus the Braves last Friday, bringing his total to 32 home runs this season. He is +330 to hit another home run against the Marlins in the Thursday MLB odds, which is among the HR predictions that SportsLine’s Inside the Lines team is focusing on.
They have also disclosed two additional MLB home run wagers for Thursday’s MLB lineup, which consists of eight games. MLB home run props can be found for nearly every player in every game at various sportsbooks, and SportsLine’s reliable computer model can assist you in identifying value for your MLB betting picks. New users can take advantage of the latest bet365 bonus code to get $200 in bonus bets right after a first $5 bet, while also benefiting from one of the best sportsbook promos:
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It has gained 53.75 units on its individual MLB HR picks this season after successfully predicting Matt Wallner (+425) and Zachary Neto (+460) to homer on Tuesday, and has generated two three-leg parlays with payouts of at least 80-1 this season. Now, the model and SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists have shared their betting projections for some of the most-placed MLB HR prop bets for Thursday. Additional picks can be found in their daily blog.
Top MLB home run selections for Thursday, August 28:
MLB Top Home Run Bets 8/28
For real-time, complimentary picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.
Jazz Chisholm, Yankees (+400, FanDuel)
Chisholm has faced difficulties on the road this season, but we still favor him in this matchup because he’s against a right-handed pitcher. He has an .899 OPS and 23 of his 25 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers. Left-handed hitters boast a solid .785 OPS against Davis Martin this season, and Martin has recorded just 29 strikeouts to 21 walks against lefties—another factor enhancing Chisholm’s value here. We determined the line at +315 for Chisholm to hit a home run, so this price at FanDuel presents good value.
Juan Soto, Mets (+330, FanDuel)
Adam Mazur has pitched in only 9 career games, but left-handed batters have a .321 average and a 1.020 OPS against him in that span. Soto holds a .956 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season and has hit 25 of his 32 home runs off them. We see fair value at +330 for Soto, but this matchup is advantageous with favorable weather conditions anticipated tonight. You can achieve over $300 in bonus bets if your initial $5 wager wins when you place a $5 bet using the latest FanDuel promo code:
Oneil Cruz, Pirates (+370, DraftKings)
We’re taking a «he’s due» stance for Cruz, who is due generally and particularly against Mikolas. Cruz’s batting average has dipped to .203, primarily due to his .110 average and .409 OPS against left-handed pitchers. Although he hasn’t excelled against righties either, he’s hit 17 of his 18 home runs against them. We have set Cruz’s line at +360 to record a home run, and you can place this prop at DraftKings, where you can receive $300 in bonus bets instantly and over $200 off on NFL Sunday Ticket using the latest DraftKings promo code:
Where to wager on MLB props Thursday
Here’s a look at betting sites that will provide MLB HR props on Thursday:
Additional MLB picks for Thursday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop selections for several players on Thursday. Now, obtain MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Looking for more from SportsLine? Check today’s top MLB picks from SportsLine’s Angelo Magliocca, who is currently on a 58-40 run (+1422) with MLB picks.
